The BRICfast Club (Part III): China and Brazil Sign Trade and Investment Agreements at BRIC Summit

 Oil and Steel Industries to Benefit

This is the third in a series of posts dedicated to the BRIC countries. While the late John Hughes would have appreciated the titular tribute to his Breakfast Club classic, the series is meant to stimulate a robust discussion among those interested in the subject.

For the uninitiated, BRIC is an acronym coined by Goldman Sachs to refer to the red-hot economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China. According to the investment group’s projections, the BRIC countries could become among the four most dominant economies by the year 2050.

Part I of this series centered on Brazil with the post Hey Brazil--Take Your Time With Those BITs, I Can Get Them Somewhere Else! Part II of the series focused on India with the article India Needs Massive Investment in Physical Infrastructure to Catch China Growth.  

Let's move on to Part III  with some brief yet interesting news concerning China and Brazil.

Steel and Oil Deal

The two countries signed a series of trade and investment agreements today at the BRIC summit taking place in Brazil. The deals are aimed at boosting trade and energy cooperation between the these emerging giants. Expect to see more of these deals in the near future.

The biggest deal announced was China's pledge to build a steel plant at a Brazilian port.  The steel plant would be China's biggest investment ever in the Latin American country. Under the agreement, China's Wuhan Iron and Steel will build a plant in a port in Rio de Janeiro state with Brazilian logistics firm LLX Logistica.

Another major announcement was the strategic development deal reached between China's Sinopec and  Brazil's state-run oil giant Petrobras.

The agreements reached in the steel and oil industries are not surprising.

Among other things, Brazil's recent discovery of vast offshore oil reserves has opened a new area of potential cooperation with resource-hungry China, which last year agreed to lend $10 billion to Petrobras in return for guaranteed oil supply over the next decade.

Trend to Watch: Look for Stronger Ties to be Forged Between China and Brazil in the Next 18 Months

      -Santiago

Switzerland and United States Reach Landmark Agreement in UBS Tax Case

Swiss Parliament Must Still Approve Amended Protocol

The CBS news magazine 60 Minutes featured a story on January 3, 2010 concerning the tax controversy between Switzerland and the United States over Switzerland's secretive banking industry. At the time, it appeared there would be no end in sight to the impasse.

60 Minutes: A Crack in the Swiss Vault

 

Yesterday, however, the United States and Switzerland signed a landmark agreement to allow the Swiss government to provide information to the IRS on U.S. account holders of Swiss bank UBS. The agreement reached in Washington D.C. amends the income tax treaty between the two countries.

Watershed Moment for Swiss Banking

The agreement marks a watershed moment in the history of Swiss banking and its secrecy laws, which make the disclosure of client names a crime under Swiss law. With the Swiss government now on board, only Parliament’s approval is necessary to proceed with the disclosure.

In August 2009, the U.S. and Switzerland reached an agreement, under which the Swiss government was to hand over to the IRS for investigation information on approximately 4,450 UBS account holders.

In January, a ruling by the Swiss Federal Administrative Court threatened to torpedo the US-Swiss agreement. The court found shortcomings in the deal which the amended protocol now addresses.

Status as Bilateral Tax Treaty

The new protocol to the U.S.-Switzerland treaty establishes the necessary legal basis to allow the Swiss government to fulfill its obligations under the August 2009 agreement to provide information on UBS account holders to the IRS.

The protocol is designed to ensure the legality of the information release by raising the August 2009 agreement to the level of a bilateral tax treaty. According to the Swiss government, “the UBS Agreement now takes precedence over the older and more general convention, and permits Switzerland to provide treaty assistance in cases not only of tax fraud, but also of continued and serious tax evasion.”

However, the August 2009 agreement, having been raised to the level of a treaty, now must be ratified by the Swiss parliament. The Swiss government will not hand over any names until that ratification occurs, except in cases of persons who consent to the transfer or who have reported themselves to the IRS under last year’s voluntary disclosure program.  A non-conformed copy of the new protocol is below:

Amended Protocol Between the U.S. and Switzerland Amending August 2009 Agreement

 

Agreement Marks a Shift in Swiss Tax Law

Swiss law considers tax evasion — which it defines as the underreporting of income or filing incorrect returns — as a civil violation, different from tax fraud, which it views as a serious crime involving ill-gotten gains and the use of elaborate sham entities to hide assets. The I.R.S. views both tax evasion and tax fraud as criminal offenses.

The new protocol is significant because it shows that the Swiss government now effectively agrees with the American view that tax fraud and tax evasion are similar criminal offenses.

Switzerland to Remain International Banking Capital

Despite the changes, there are a number of reasons that Switzerland will continue to serve as a safe banking haven.  Apart from the controversy over its secrecy laws, Switzerland still has its advantages in safeguarding funds against such uncertainties as coup de main, coup d’etat, revolution and hyperinflation.

Moreover, a host of multinational corporations have recently moved their European headquarters to the Swiss power centers of Zurich, Geneva and Zug because of the rock-bottom tax rates these Cantons offer. I wrote about these tax advantages in an earlier post-- Why Relocating to Switzerland May be the Best Corporate Strategy

The current surge in the Swiss franc further serves to highlight Switzerland's appeal to international banking.  And the skiing is not too bad either.  

Swiss banking is here to stay. What do you think?

    -Santiago 

*This post follows-up on two previous articles I have writton the UBS tax controversy,  UBS Strikes Deal in U.S. Tax Case: The End of Switzerland's Bank Secrecy Rules a Boon to Singapore Banking? and Swiss Banks Shutting Out U.S. Clients Due to Unprecedented Banking Oversight.

Post-Game Analysis of Morrison v. National Australia Bank. Read the Transcript Here

"I mean, this case is Australian plaintiff, Australian defendant, shares purchased in Australia.  It has 'Australia' written all over it."  

                 -- Justice Ginsburg, March 29, 2010

Following up on yesterday's pre-game analysis of oral argument in Morrison v. National Australia BankHannah Buxbaum over at the Conglomorate blog,  has posted an excellent post-game analysis of this pivotal U.S. Supreme Court case. We thank her for providing a link to the transcript, embedded below:

Morrison v. National Australia Oral Argument Transcript

 

After reviewing the transcript, Hannah is of the opinion that the Court "will have no problem concluding that f-cubed cases are not governed by U.S. securities law."  But she notes that "the bright-line test advocated by respondents, under which U.S. law would apply only if the securities transaction in question took place in the United States, wouldn't just foreclose those cases -- it would also foreclose cases involving American investors who had invested abroad.  Would that be throwing the baby out with the bathwater?"

That's a great point. What about protecting the interests of defrauded U.S. investors? What do you think?

       -Santiago 

UK Investors Offered Amnesty Under Liechtenstein Tax Deal

In a trend that could spread to other jurisdictions, Liechtenstein is asking wealthy UK investors who have assets hidden abroad to take advantage of its “unique and attractive” amnesty program.

The agreement reached between the UK and Liechtenstein combines generous terms with a promise by the principality to close the accounts of customers who could not prove they were tax-compliant. The disclosure facility offers minimal penalties, a guarantee of no prosecution in non-criminal cases and an exemption from the threat of “naming and shaming”.

You can read about the program in the Financial Times article Liechtenstein woos investors with tax amnesty.

While I think the deal comes close to striking a balance between banking confidentiality and tax transparency, it comes at the expense of rewarding the users of the most secretive jurisdictions.

Trend to Watch: Look for Similar Deals to Be Forged with Monaco, Singapore, Hong Kong and Gibraltar

      -Santiago

 

Doing Business in Japan Teleconference. $768.8 Billion Reasons to Attend

 

The International Law Prof Blog has passed along details about an upcoming teleconference, “Doing Business with Japan,” sponsored by the American Bar Association Section of International Law.

The conference could not come at a better time. Businessweek’s Daniel Kruger reported this week that Japan has overtaken China as the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasury securities. The number is staggering--Japan is now holding $768.8 Billion in U.S. T-Bills.

Folks, the conference is a great first step towards bridging the trade gap and getting back some of those T-Bills.

Here are the details:

90-Minute ABA Teleconference on Doing Business with Japan

Are you interested in getting a better understanding of the legal system in Japan?  Or in the advantages (and dangers) of selecting Japanese law or Japan as a place to arbitrate?  Or other issues relating to doing business with (and in) Asia? 

There's a teleconference on "Doing Business with Japan" on Wednesday, February 24, 2010 from noon to 1:30 p.m. Eastern US Time.  The program is organized by the Asia/Pacific Committee of the American Bar Association Section of International Law.  Click here for the program description, speaker bios, and registration form.  Download Japan.  There is an extremely modest fee to call in ($15 for section members and $25 for non-members).  Register by Monday, February 22, 2010.

Looks like an excellent program. Will you be attending?

 

    -Santiago

 

 

Are Carbon Credits the New Global Currency?

In response to the Copenhagen Climate Summit’s call for innovative environmental solutions,  my law firm launched a groundbreaking program today to allow law firm clients to pay legal fees with carbon credits. The initiative is the first of its kind in the professional services industry. You can read more about my firm’s initiative in the Wall Street Journal article Will Work For Carbon Credits!’ says Florida Lawyer written by Ashby Jones.

Carbon credits are units that can offset a company’s carbon footprint. One carbon credit is equal to one ton of carbon dioxide. The credits, which can be bought and sold in international markets, have gained significant traction as a legitimate currency to transact business.

I’ve been closely tracking the Copenhagen Climate Conference currently underway in the Danish capital. Over 100 heads of State and government including President Barack Obama and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, as well as more than 15,000 participants, have gathered at the Conference to come up with innovative ways to address climate change.

One of the most promising solutions are carbon credits, which hold immense promise to radically change the world energy system and the way business is transacted.

My research on carbon credits as a currency to transact business led me to a groundbreaking article published several years ago in the Harvard International Review. The article, A New Currency: Climate Change and Carbon Credits was written by David Victor Joshua House of the Stanford University Institute of International Studies. The Authors presented a fascinating thesis on the power of carbon credits to transform the world energy system:

A new currency is emerging in world markets. Unlike the dollars, euros and yen that trade for tangible goods and human services, money exchanges hands for pollution - particularly emissions of carbon dioxide, which are caused by burning fossil fuels and are the leading cause of global climate change. Carbon credits, as they are called, are poised to transform the world energy system and thus the world economy.

The thesis, written in 2004, was prescient in its prediction of how the market for carbon credits would skyrocket. The global carbon credit market was worth $126 Billion in 2008. The World Bank estimates that the market could grow up to $150 billion by the end of this year.

Of course, the creation of a new global currency implies the need for coordination on a scale unprecedented in history, as Mr. Victor and Mr. House point out in their article. While the task may be daunting, it’s important to keep in mind that historically, the strongest currencies have emerged “bottom-up” from the initial efforts of a committed few.  

If carbon credits were to gain global consensus, the benefits to the atmosphere and to the world economy could be enormous.

Trend to Watch: Look for More Industries to Transact Business With Carbon Credits.

   -Santiago 

Hey Brazil: It'sTime to Ratify Those Bilateral Investment Agreements

Brazil is on a roll.  Yesterday’s Financial Times included a special 10-page section devoted to Brazil. One of the articles, Olympic Accolade Sets Seal on Progress, written by Jonathan Wheatly, succinctly describes the “exuberant optimism” that has gripped the country since it was awarded the 2016 Olympic Games.  And the Wall Street Journal recently reported on the Brazilian stock exchange making spectacular gains in the article Brazilian Stock Scores Spectacular Gains on US GDP Growth.  This is following last month’s IPO of Banco Santander’s Brazilian unit, the world’s largest IPO so far this year, as reported in the New York Times article, Banco Santander's Brazil Unit Raises $8 Billion in I.P.O.

While these events are certain to fund rapid expansion in Brazil’s capital sector, the exuberance is tempered by a look at the long road ahead. Yet it is impossible not to be blinded by the bright future that seemed out of reach not long ago.  Antonio Quintella, country manager at Credit Suisse Sao Paulo put it succinctly:

Nothing is guaranteed. But it is reasonable to assume that [Brazil] won’t repeat the mistakes of the past…it is very difficult not to be bullish”

Brazil Should Ratify Bilateral Investment Agreements

Brazil has emerged from the global recession as the darling of international investors; this has created a wealth of investment opportunities.  However, it lags behind all other Latin American countries in one important respect: it has yet to ratify any bilateral investment agreements (BITs).  These agreements protect international investors when disputes arise in host countries. In light of Brazil’s recent good fortune, the time has come for Brazil to rethink its approach to BITs and implement measures to protect foreign investors.

Bilateral Invest Agreements Provide Important Safeguards

BITs obligate host countries to provide safeguards for foreign investment. If host governments fail to heed these safeguards, investors maybe awarded money damages. The following safeguards are among those afforded by BITs:

  1. host countries are prohibited from expropriating foreign investment without compensation.
  2. The agreements often include national treatment provisions, which require a government to treat foreign investors no less favorably than they treat domestic investors. They also often include most favored nation provisions, which extent the same protections afforded to foreign investors from one country to foreign investors from other countries.
  3. foreign investors have the right to transfer funds into and out of the host country without delay.
  4.  In addition to substantive protections, BITs provide powerful dispute resolution mechanisms. Under these mechanisms, Foreign investors may choose to resolve disputes in binding international arbitration such as in the International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) and arbitral tribunals organized under the United Nations Commission of International Trade Law (UNCITRAL).

These agreements provide important safeguards against government mistreatment, mitigating some of the political risks associated with making investments in foreign countries.

Conclusion

Although Brazil’s reluctance to ratify BITs may help to protect it against claims by foreign investors, the recent surge in outbound Brazilian investment should cause Brazil to reconsider its position against international investment agreements

While Brazil is busy contemplating this proposition, there is a way investors can structure their investments to take advantage of BITs between other states. Stay tuned, and I’ll let you know how in a follow-up post.

Trend to Watch: A Surge in Investment Activity in Brazil Will Lead to the Adoption of International Investment Agreements

 

International Tender Offers: Structured Deals on the Rise

As Forbes reported today in the article Dainippon completes tender offer for Sepracor, Dainippon Sumitomo Pharma Co. of Japan agreed to buy Sepracor, based in Marlborough, Mass., for about $2.6 billion, or $23 per Sepracor share. Sepracor makes drugs for respiratory and nervous system disorders. It reported $1.29 billion in revenue in 2008, with almost half of that total coming from sales of its sleep aid Lunesta.

The Dainippon/Sepracor deal is the latest example of the resurgence of tender offers as a vehicle for growth. An insightful article entitled The Peculiarities of Tender Offers appears in today’s New York TimesDealBook section. According to the article, 26.15 percent of acquisitions so far this year were structured as tender offers, compared with 16.28 percent in 2007 and 23.34 percent in 2008.

Swiss Banks Shutting Out U.S. Clients Due to Unprecedented Banking Oversight

on my visit to Switzerland with my wife and daughter this past April, there was a palpable sense of uneasiness in the unusually damp alpine air. As we made our way down Zurich’s Bahnhofstrasse---the main artery running through the city’s financial district, I could not help but notice the sheer number of jaw-clenched bankers passing us by. Given the current regulatory climate, the bankers' uneasiness is understandable. As Mark Scott of Business Week’s Europe Insight blog explained in his post U.S. May Target Other Swiss Banks in Tax Probe, Swiss bankers are coming under intense scrutiny concerning the portfolios of their  wealthy U.S. clients:

Swiss banks also are becoming more reticent towards U.S. clients. Several bankers, who declined to give their names due to the sensitivity of the topic, say the extra oversight involved in managing American money -- coupled with the bad publicity associated with the UBS case -- has taken the shine off providing wealth management services to U.S. high-earners. Despite the sizeable American market, many would prefer to tap the growing wealth from Asian economies, instead of dealing with the added pressure associated with U.S. clients.”

Although I touched on this topic in an earlier post, it remains to be seen whether Swiss banks will continue to limit or even eliminate private wealth services to U.S. clients.  Due to the ongoing saga between the IRS and UBS, many Swiss banks have chosen to shut out U.S. clients entirely.  At present, it's mostly the smaller Swiss banks that have announced their intent to limit their services to non-U.S. clients. Wegelin & Co., Switzerland's oldest bank,  for example, has instructed wealthy clients to sell their U.S. assets, or switch banks, because of concerns that new rules will burden investors with tax obligations in the U.S. At least two of the major Swiss banks -- Julius Baer (JBHGF) and Credit Suisse Group (CS) -- have yet to publicly announced whether or not they will change their procedures for handling U.S. clients. 

As this banking saga continues to unfold, it will be up to Switzerland to draw the line on banking reform. Swiss foreign minister MichelineCalmy-Rey put it succinctly when she told Reuters, "For us this is not primarily about UBS. It is about Switzerland's sovereignty. We want our laws to be respected. It is also about our financial center and about jobs. A solution in the UBS case must fall within Swiss laws."

 

 Trend to Watch: Look for increased tension between Switzerland and other nations as France and Germany step up their efforts to further erode Swiss bank secrecy laws.

UBS Strikes Deal in U.S. Tax Case: The End of Switzerland's Bank Secrecy Rules a Boon to Singapore Banking?

On August 3, 2009, UBS reached a deal with U.S. authorities to turn over the names of 5,000 U.S clients holding secret Swiss bank accounts. Although this amounts to a mere 10 percent of the names Washington was after, the controversy surrounding Switzerland and UBS will continue to swell. The pressure on Switzerland and UBS to stop shielding the wealthy from paying their dues will likely increase as U.S. authorities step up their efforts to stem the tide of illicit capital flight entering the offshore banking world.

Swiss officials have downplayed the deal, asserting that the settlement plan would do nothing to impart Swiss banking secrecy.  From this Washington Post article:

 

“The proposed resolution to a U.S. government demand for information about thousands of Americans suspected of using Swiss accounts to evade taxes would leave Swiss bank secrecy intact, a top Swiss official has said.”

Notwithstanding this assertion, Swiss banks will be subject to much greater scrutiny now – at least as far as their Swiss operations go. Many Swiss institutions are setting up operations in Singapore, which is growing quickly as a rival to Switzerland as a banking haven. By cutting personal income taxes to 20% and tightening account privacy, Singapore is quickly becoming a go-to haven for Asia’s growing number of millionaires.

In advising a client on the placement of funds offshore, Singapore may hold more sway in comparison to Switzerland. The deal reached between UBS and the U.S. all but eviscerates the competitive advantage long held by Swiss banks. If it is no longer possible for U.S. citizens  around the world privately to stash cash in Switzerland, then why not bank at the local branch of Bank of America?

There are a number of reason why Switzerland is still a viable option as a banking safe haven.  Apart from the controversy threatening its secrecy laws, Switzerland still has its advantages in safeguarding funds against such uncertainties as coup de main, coup d’etat, revolution and hyperinflation. Moreover, a host of multinational corporations have recently moved their European headquarters to the Swiss power centers of Zurich and Geneva. The resultant surge in international activity is sure to buoy Swiss banks until the UBS controversy subsides.

Trend to Watch: While Singapore Banks may bode well in the short term, the Swiss banking industry will remain a strong contender in the pageant of offshore banking havens.